The San Francisco Peninsula & Silicon Valley real estate markets continued their spectacular recovery in spite of a global recession. Technology and social networking companies from Mountain View to San Francisco are rapidly expanding – and hiring. The demand for housing in this area is now nearly as strong as it was during the dot-com boom of ’98-‘00. Median sales prices, on average, were up 4% from last year, and up by 13% in Atherton.
Palo Alto Continues to Defy Gravity
Palo Alto again had the most overbidding in 2011 with sellers receiving 103.6% of asking price, on average. It also had the most expensive real estate in the area with homes selling at an average of $723 per square foot. Increases in sales prices and over-bidding are likely to continue in 2012, unless there is some major national or international financial upheaval.
Hills Markets Now Recovering
During the past few years demand has been low in Los Altos Hills, Portola Valley, and Woodside. Yet, in 2011 those areas had the greatest increase in sales volume over the previous year of all the areas covered here. In fact, Woodside’s sales volume was up by 84%!
High tech businesses from Cupertino to San Francisco continue to boom. Inventories of homes for sale are significantly lower than last year. The buyer to seller ratio is definitely favoring the seller, particularly in neighborhoods with good schools.
The percentage of list price sellers received for their homes rose again in the 4th quarter. The average selling price in Palo Alto was 3.4% over the asking price! Sales volume was down, particularly in Palo Alto, where folks are currently more likely to buy than to sell. This is also holding down the median sales price figures. For example, there were 50% fewer homes priced over $1.5m put on the market in Palo Alto during the 4th quarter in 2011 than there were in 2010.
Please find charts of Q4 market activity which includes median sales price, average percentage of list price received and total number of closed sales for single family home sales in November for the last decade in Palo Alto, Los Altos, Los Altos Hills and Menlo Park. This historical trending, which we compile monthly, gives you the best perspective when evaluating market conditions. If you have any questions about the charts below or wish to get data and analysis about another town in the area, please contact us. We invite you to add your comments at the bottom of the post.
More Homes on the Market; But Less Desirable Locations & Conditions
November 2011 home sales stats were recently published and while inventory of homes for sale was higher than last year in some areas, the “quality” of the inventory was poor. Many homes were not priced in accordance with their location or condition. This caused sales to be fewer than they would have been if those homes had been priced more accurately. Multiple offers, however, are still the standard for most accurately priced homes in this area.
Demand across all price ranges remains very strong following the strong performance of local technology companies. As a result, we expect home prices to continue to appreciate (subject to the non-collapse of the Euro). Interest rates remain at historically low levels which is also increasing demand.
Please find charts of market activity and median sales price for single family home sales in November for the last decade in Palo Alto, Los Altos, Los Altos Hills and Menlo Park. This historical trending, which we compile monthly, gives you the best perspective when evaluating market conditions. If you have any questions about the charts below or wish to get data and analysis about another town in the area, please contact us. We invite you to add your comments at the bottom of the post.
The economic recovery on the San Francisco Peninsula & Silicon Valley is continuing.
A strengthening jobs market and record low interest rates have continued to support buyer demand. Meanwhile fewer homes were put up for sale during the 3rd quarter compared to a year ago.
Total new listings (in all areas listed) were down by 17% on average from a year ago while sales in the third quarter were down just slightly. The total inventory of homes for sale at the end of the quarter was down by 25% from a year ago. We believe the number of sales would have been significantly higher if buyers had a greater number of homes to choose from.
? See charts below comparing 2011 and 2010 for inventory, closed sales, new listings, average days on the market, median sales price and average percentage of list price received.
Third quarter median sales prices and the average percentage of list priced received by sellers held steady on average from a year ago. Atherton had the highest increase in median sales price: up by 10%. Palo Alto had the highest percentage of list price received by sellers: 103.3% on average.
May we be of help?
The cities and towns above have varieties of neighborhoods and prices. When we only look at averages they can tell us something, but not everything. If you would like an in-depth analysis of trends in your particular neighborhood, we will be happy to provide it.Share
The Peninsula real estate market continues to be hot!
Inventories of homes for sale are significantly lower than last year. Competition for the best properties in all price ranges remained strong with over-bidding particularly common in Palo Alto (note the average percentage of list price received was over 100% again in September).
As we noted last month, local consumer confidence is continuing to waver, based on the non-stop negative economic news both nationally and internationally. This is adversely affecting demand for homes that have “issues”, but for most homes it remains a “Seller’s Market”.Share